Too Soon for Doom Gloom?

Preprint

Too Soon for Doom Gloom?

Kopf, T.; Krtouš, P.; Page, D. N.

arXiv:gr-qc/9407002 (1994)

Abstract

The observation that we are among the first 10^11 or so humans reduces the
prior probability that we find ourselves in a species whose total lifetime number
of individuals is much higher, according to arguments of Carter, Leslie,
Nielsen, and Gott. However, if we instead start with a prior probability that
a history has a total lifetime number which is very large, without assuming
that we are in such a history, this more basic probability is not reduced by
the observation of how early in history we exist.

Institute authors

Krtouš, Pavel

BibTeX

@misc{UTF10,
  author        = {Kopf, T. and Krtouš, P. and Page, D. N.},
  title         = {{Too Soon for Doom Gloom?}},
  year          = {1994},
  eprint        = {gr-qc/9407002},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
}